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Anthony Joshua vs. Tyson Fury Early Odds: Who’s Favored, and Will the Fight Actually Happen?
Anthony Joshua and Tyson Fury finally have a date with December 11 at Cardiff’s Principality Stadium. The fight was officially announced Thursday, September 24, after years of deals that seemed close until they weren’t. Fury has opened as the betting favorite, but the odds tell a more interesting story than simply picking a winner.
Early prices put Fury at 8/15 to win, Joshua at 13/8 and a draw at 16/1. The method-of-victory market gives bettors another angle. Tracking through the best gambling and online casinos in Tennessee, Fury is 13/10 to win by knockout, technical knockout or disqualification, and 16/5 to win on points or a decision. Joshua is 13/5 for a KO, TKO or disqualification win, compared with 15/2 on points. The fight is 4/9 not to go the distance and 13/8 to reach the final bell.
Anthony Joshua vs. Tyson Fury Early Odds
Joshua’s recent fight offers an obvious talking point. Kristian Prenga dropped him twice in the first round in July before Joshua came back to stop him in the second. Fury stopped Mariusz Wach in the seventh round that month, having outpointed Arslanbek Makhmudov in April. Those results help explain why Fury is favored, though Joshua’s recovery against Prenga also showed why one bad round need not decide a heavyweight fight.
There is history behind the other betting question: Will it happen? In 2021, plans for a Fury-Joshua fight collapsed after an arbitration ruling required Fury to face Deontay Wilder again. Talks for a proposed 2022 meeting also failed. This year’s negotiations stalled over the location, with Cardiff ultimately chosen. A signed agreement and an official announcement are significant steps.
Before the announcement, odds of 5/6 were published for Fury-Joshua to take place in 2026. That price came in July, before both men’s warm-up fights and before the date and venue were confirmed. Fury’s brother Shane said before the announcement that Fury had a contractual plan to box a replacement on the same date and at the same venue if Joshua did not fight.
For now, the firm details are a December 11 event in Cardiff, a global Netflix stream and a joint press conference scheduled for September 30. Cardiff Council says the main event will take place in the early hours of Saturday for UK viewers, although the official announcement did not specify a start time. Fury is the early favorite, and the finish markets offer more ways to bet.

